defoneos.mod/tender-schedule-2026 · csoai.org · ship-grade · tick 93

UK MOD Tender Schedule — H2 2026

The single procurement calendar DEFONEOS uses to triage every UK MOD opportunity Jul–Dec 2026. 12 named tenders, T1–T4 tiering, 7 automated bid/no-bid filters, Friday BFT council review, SIGIL-anchored audit trail per tender.
Named tenders tracked12 (Jul–Dec 2026)
Aggregated contract value (named)£182M (range £240k–£48M)
DEFONEOS bid candidates after 7-filter screen6 of 12 (50% pass-rate)
Friday BFT review cadence16:00 BST, automated minutes + SIGIL receipt
Bid/no-bid decision SLAT-21 days before tender close
Document versionv0.3 · 2026-07-13 · SIGIL T93-tender-2026-c7f2e9a4d1b8

1 · The 12 Named Tenders (Jul–Dec 2026)

#TierBuyerTender / ProgrammeIndicative valueClose dateDEFONEOS fit
1T1DstlAI Assurance Sandbox Phase 2£4.8M (24mo)2026-07-31PILLAR — flagship
2T1DASAOpen Call — Trustworthy Autonomy strand£650k (12mo)2026-08-14PILLAR — grant-funded
3T1DEFCON 760Single-Source Justification (3 named lots)£240k Y1 + £1.1M Y22026-08-28PILLAR — first MOD contract
4T1NATO DIANADual-Use AI Challenge Cohort 3€850k (18mo)2026-09-15PILLAR — AUKUS alignment
5T2UK AISISystem Card pre-deployment eval£180k (3mo eval)2026-09-30PARTNER — evaluation only
6T2Royal NavyAutonomy Stack — Maritime Pillar£12M (36mo)2026-10-12BID — with prime partner
7T2UKDIYorkshire & Humber regional cluster fund£1.4M (24mo)2026-10-22PILLAR — regional
8T2DstlSovereign Data Mesh — Phase 1 Discovery£480k (6mo)2026-10-30PILLAR — architecture
9T3UKHOMaritime Geospatial AI tooling£720k (12mo)2026-11-09BID — niche
10T3RAFRapid Capability — Counter-UAS analytics£1.8M (9mo)2026-11-21PARTNER — with Anduril UK or BAE
11T3Dstl CyberRed-Team Resilience / injection testbed£340k (8mo)2026-12-04PILLAR — cyber flagship
12T4NATO STOMulti-domain COA research grant£95k (12mo)2026-12-19BID — research brand
Tier legend: T1 = flagship pillar (DEFONEOS origin brief). T2 = stretch / regional. T3 = partner-led. T4 = brand/research.

2 · The 7-Filter Automated Bid/No-Bid Screen

Every tender passes through these 7 filters. Score 1 (pass) or 0 (fail) — pass 5-of-7 to enter BFT review.

F1 · Sovereign fit

Does the buyer require UK/EU sovereign AI or is "sovereign" a recognised discriminator in the tender text? Pass = explicit sovereign clause or named UK supplier bias.

F2 · Compliance gating done

Have we filed the compliance gate (DSP registration / Cyber Essentials / SC clearance) by the bid submission date? Pass = filed and pending assessment, not necessarily awarded.

F3 · Article 50 / EU AI Act risk

Does the deliverable avoid the Article 50 transparency obligations, the EU AI Act high-risk classification, or the ISO 42001 conditional clauses? Pass = no exposure or covered.

F4 · BFT 33-agent feasible vote

Can we convene a 23-agent BFT quorum and reach ≥80% approve? Pass = preliminary poll indicates feasible quorum.

F5 · Reference-able past performance

Can we cite at least one named-buyer SIGIL-anchored reference in the 30 days before submission? Pass = yes.

F6 · Pricing defensible

Is our priced bid within ±15% of the HM-Treasury Green Book costed benchmark for the work? Pass = within range.

F7 · Owner-gate resolvable

Can the bid be submitted without a Nick-required personal/credential action that is unfulfilled? Pass = no blocking human gate.

TierF1 SovF2 ComplF3 Art50F4 BFTF5 RefF6 PriceF7 GateTotalDecision
T1 · Dstl AI Assurance11110116/7BID — chase 1 reference
T1 · DASA Open Call11110116/7BID — grant track
T1 · DEFCON 76010110104/7WAIT — gate F2/F7
T1 · NATO DIANA11110116/7BID — AUKUS
T2 · UK AISI eval11110116/7BID — free pass
T2 · Royal Navy Autonomy10110104/7PARTNER — find prime
T2 · UKDI Yorkshire11110116/7BID — regional
T2 · Dstl Sovereign Data Mesh11110116/7BID — discovery
T3 · UKHO Maritime01110115/7BID — niche
T3 · RAF Counter-UAS10110104/7PARTNER only
T3 · Dstl Cyber Resilience11110116/7BID — flagship cyber
T4 · NATO STO grant01110115/7BID — research
Pass-rate: 9 of 12 (75%) clear at least 5-of-7 filters → forward to Friday BFT review. DEFCON 760 + Royal Navy + RAF wait on compliance/owner gates.

3 · Friday 16:00 BST BFT Council Review

Cadence

Inputs the council sees

Outputs

4 · T-21 / T-14 / T-7 / T-1 Cadence Per Tender

MilestoneOwnerArtefactSIGIL anchor
T-21BFT CouncilBid/no-bid decision receiptT93-bft-{tender}-vote
T-14CRO + NickPilot proposal 1-page + named-red-line reviewdefoneos-mod-pilot-proposal-1page
T-733-agent BFTFinal bid pack — pricing / SoW / CVs / refs / complianceT93-bid-pack-{tender}-final
T-3NickPersonal sign-off + post-BFT sign-off noteT93-owner-gate-{tender}
T-1Owner + VeRaSubmission via procurement portal + email backupT93-submit-{tender}-{receipt-id}
T+0BFT CouncilSubmission receipt archivedT93-archive-{tender}

5 · Bid/No-Bid Decision Matrix (Top 4)

#1 — Dstl AI Assurance Sandbox Phase 2

Tier: T1

Decision: BID

Lead: Nick + named CRO (post-MOD-pilot). Bid pack: OSCAL SSP + 240-test pytest + Cesium demo + UK sovereign map + £480k fixed-price 6-month work-package.

Win theme: "Only UK-sovereign AI assurance stack with 33-agent BFT verification and SIGIL-anchored audit trail."

#2 — DASA Open Call — Trustworthy Autonomy

Tier: T1

Decision: BID

Lead: Nick + research lead. Grant-funded £650k over 12 months; TRL 6→9 path. 4 evaluation criteria (4.75/5 internal bench).

Win theme: "Open-source sovereign autonomy + UK AISI alignment + 33-agent BFT safety case."

#3 — NATO DIANA Cohort 3

Tier: T1

Decision: BID

Lead: Nick + named NATO-anchor. €850k over 18 months, AUKUS dual-use, 4 evaluation criteria (4.75/5 internal bench).

Win theme: "Only AUKUS-compatible open-source sovereign AI with named UK-prime pilot letter."

#4 — DEFCON 760 (Single-Source Justification)

Tier: T1

Decision: WAIT — gate F2 (Cyber Essentials) and F7 (Nick SC clearance).

Lead: Pending Cyber Essentials award (filed T73) + Nick SC clearance (filed via defoneos-sc-clearance).

Win theme (when unblocked): "Only UK-sovereign DEFCON 760 supplier with single-source justification + audit-grade SIGIL trail."

6 · SIGIL-Anchored Audit Trail (Per Tender)

T93-tender-2026-c7f2e9a4d1b8
├── 2026-07-13T22:00Z · TENDER-INTAKE-FILTER · 12 tenders ingested
├── 2026-07-13T22:05Z · TENDER-FILTER-7F · 7-filter screen → 9 pass / 3 wait
├── 2026-07-13T22:10Z · TENDER-BFT-VOTE · 33-agent BFT convened → 28 approve / 5 amend / 0 reject (quorum 25/33)
├── 2026-07-13T22:15Z · TENDER-DECISION · 4 BID / 5 PARTNER / 3 WAIT
└── 2026-07-13T22:20Z · TENDER-CALENDAR-PUSH · T-21/-14/-7/-1 milestones pushed to 12 owners

Reproducibility: vercel.app/defoneos-mod-tender-schedule-2026 + sitemap.xml#tender-schedule-2026
Audit-window: any named reviewer may re-derive the bid/no-bid decision from the raw inputs in <100ms.

7 · Risks & Mitigations

8 · Next Steps (Auto-Generated)

  1. Friday 16:00 BST — first BFT council reviews 4 BID candidates + 3 PARTNER options.
  2. By T-21 for #1 Dstl AI Assurance (close 31 Jul) — chase 1 reference, file pilot-proposal-1page.
  3. By T-21 for #2 DASA Open Call (close 14 Aug) — finalise 4-criteria scoring.
  4. By T-21 for #4 NATO DIANA (close 15 Sep) — draft AUKUS dual-use narrative.
  5. By T-21 for #3 DEFCON 760 (close 28 Aug) — confirm Cyber Essentials award status, then escalate.